🏈 NFL Week 2 EV+ SPA Pick
Published: Sep 14 • Book: DraftKings • Format: +EV & SPA (situational) focus
Main Pick: Browns +11.5 (–110) vs Ravens
Stake: $50 to win $45.45
| Team | Spread | Line | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | +11.5 | –110 | Divisional dog, value above key number 10 |
| Ravens | –11.5 | –110 | Public-heavy side, inflated premium |
🔍 SPA Breakdown
- Divisional Dog: AFC North familiarity compresses margins; double digits are harder to cover.
- Early-Season Variance: Week 2 volatility adds paths to single-digit outcomes.
- Public Bias: Market shades toward Ravens after a strong opener; we take the points.
💵 Bankroll Plan
One bet this week: $50 on Browns +11.5 (–110). No props or parlays.
Lines from DraftKings; check your book for updates before placing a wager. This post focuses on expected value (+EV) and situational angles (SPA) and is for informational/entertainment purposes only.
Leave a comment