🏈 NFL Week 2 EV+ SPA Pick

Published: Sep 14 • Book: DraftKings • Format: +EV & SPA (situational) focus

Main Pick: Browns +11.5 (–110) vs Ravens
Stake: $50 to win $45.45

Team Spread Line Notes
Browns +11.5 –110 Divisional dog, value above key number 10
Ravens –11.5 –110 Public-heavy side, inflated premium

🔍 SPA Breakdown

  • Divisional Dog: AFC North familiarity compresses margins; double digits are harder to cover.
  • Early-Season Variance: Week 2 volatility adds paths to single-digit outcomes.
  • Public Bias: Market shades toward Ravens after a strong opener; we take the points.

💵 Bankroll Plan

One bet this week: $50 on Browns +11.5 (–110). No props or parlays.


Lines from DraftKings; check your book for updates before placing a wager. This post focuses on expected value (+EV) and situational angles (SPA) and is for informational/entertainment purposes only.

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